Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.015576 0.019381 0.024335 0.031455 0.041783 0.056848 0.081837
2025-01-26 0.011815 0.016270 0.023025 0.034768 0.056605 0.100811 0.218704
2025-02-02 0.009941 0.014621 0.022487 0.038216 0.074105 0.173729 0.656350
2025-02-09 0.008345 0.012800 0.020815 0.038490 0.085633 0.258511 1.992637
2025-02-16 0.007242 0.011485 0.019545 0.038853 0.098190 0.388968 9.985713
2025-02-23 0.006390 0.010406 0.018381 0.038863 0.110360 0.583626 292.970991
2025-03-02 0.005569 0.009220 0.016677 0.036716 0.113051 0.751937 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004991 0.008401 0.015565 0.035741 0.120199 1.062041 NaN
2025-03-16 0.004621 0.007929 0.015116 0.036532 0.137603 1.874469 NaN
2025-03-23 0.004276 0.007454 0.014550 0.036731 0.153275 3.385773 NaN
2025-03-30 0.003881 0.006820 0.013478 0.034830 0.153903 4.700009 NaN
2025-04-06 0.003571 0.006332 0.012684 0.033634 0.158624 7.480961 NaN
2025-04-13 0.003392 0.006139 0.012695 0.035829 0.199789 52.489074 NaN
2025-04-20 0.003278 0.006076 0.013055 0.039830 0.279863 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.003167 0.006001 0.013365 0.044002 0.399003 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002965 0.005686 0.012909 0.044335 0.469979 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002791 0.005410 0.012510 0.044776 0.559452 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002627 0.005140 0.012073 0.044789 0.652729 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002431 0.004768 0.011252 0.042185 0.644787 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002281 0.004498 0.010710 0.041006 0.690953 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.002184 0.004349 0.010530 0.041962 0.862440 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.002083 0.004181 0.010257 0.042203 1.031016 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.001952 0.003923 0.009646 0.039907 1.005193 NaN NaN